Moneyline to Implied Probability Formula:
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Moneyline odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 bet (for positive odds) or how much you need to bet to win $100 (for negative odds). It's a common format used in sports betting.
The calculator uses the moneyline to implied probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula converts betting odds into their implied probability, helping bettors assess value.
Details: Understanding implied probability helps bettors compare odds with their own assessment of an event's likelihood to find value bets.
Tips: Enter the moneyline odds (positive or negative) to calculate the implied probability. The result shows the percentage chance implied by the odds.
Q1: What's the difference between positive and negative moneyline?
A: Positive moneyline shows how much you win on a $100 bet. Negative shows how much you need to bet to win $100.
Q2: How does implied probability relate to actual probability?
A: Implied probability includes the bookmaker's margin. It's usually higher than the true probability.
Q3: What does +150 moneyline mean?
A: A $100 bet would win $150 (plus your $100 stake back).
Q4: What does -110 moneyline mean?
A: You need to bet $110 to win $100 (plus your $110 stake back).
Q5: Why is understanding implied probability important?
A: It helps identify when odds might offer value compared to your own probability assessment.