Margin of Error Formula:
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The margin of error (ME) in statistics represents the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval. It quantifies the uncertainty in survey results and helps determine how closely the sample results reflect the true population values.
The calculator uses the margin of error formula:
Where:
Explanation: The margin of error increases with higher confidence levels (larger z-scores) and decreases with larger sample sizes. It's maximized when p = 0.5.
Details: Understanding the margin of error is crucial for interpreting survey results, determining appropriate sample sizes, and assessing the reliability of statistical conclusions.
Tips: Common z-scores: 1.645 (90% CI), 1.96 (95% CI), 2.576 (99% CI). For unknown proportion, use p = 0.5 for maximum margin of error.
Q1: What's a good margin of error for surveys?
A: Typically 3-5% for political polls. Lower margins require larger samples.
Q2: How does confidence level affect margin of error?
A: Higher confidence levels (e.g., 99% vs 95%) result in larger margins of error.
Q3: What if my population proportion is unknown?
A: Use p = 0.5 as it gives the most conservative (largest) margin of error.
Q4: Does population size affect margin of error?
A: For large populations, no. Only sample size matters unless population is very small.
Q5: How can I reduce margin of error?
A: Increase sample size or accept a lower confidence level.